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Enhanced by more than 6 years of playing experience on fantasy premier league game, the author is here to share you the invaluable gaming experience and help you to enjoy the most from this fantasy game! I'll keep you updated with the tips from top fantasy blog writers as well as contributing a bit of my own ideas. Wish you the best on this fantasy game!

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Friday, September 4, 2009

Learn from the world's best fantasy manager!

What human is most capable of is the "Copy exactly" ablilty. We always learn from other people by doing exactly what they do. It's the fastest way of learning, isn't it?

The August month is over with 4 GW past. We've seen some fantasy managers get really excellent result, and some also looks good from coming gameweeks. How did they achieve it? Because they had picked a correct line-up at pre-season (and some used their wildcard already to switch into a form team). Are you doing well too?

You must be wondering how they manage to pick such a perfect combination and can do so well for every gameweek. Now lets take a look at the team of August leader, Liverpool's No. 9.:

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Here you will notice most of them already did well in the previous gameweeks, except for Baines, Jimenez, Jarvis(sub) and Bent. This means he had 7 players capable of delivering. Also prior to GW4 9 of his starting players have a form of above 4.0.

Now for his transfer history:





Out In GW
Shawcross (4.6) Baines (6.3) 4
Evra (6.6) Warnock (4.9) 4
Mullins (4.5) Jarvis (4.5) 2

Looking into his transfer history, not too impressive. Jarvis doesn't bring too many points, Warnock has not played a game since his Transfer to Aston Villa. Baines did score 11pts but Shawcross and Evra scored 7 altogether so after minus 4 for the additional transfer he didn't earn anything, instead let go Shawcross who is potential of further value up.

Now what's the success story here? Though without any significant transfers he keeps an average GW score of 79.3. This is because he picked a team capable of delivering points over the first 4 GWs. 3 Liverpool, 2 Chelsea, 2 Stoke, 2 for Bolton, 1 each for MU, Portsmouth, WH, Sunderland, and Birmingham. For Liverpool though he didn't pick Gerrard, still picks 3 players delivering more than 20pts each. A very wise choice. Meanwhile Sorensen and Shawcross are top2 point scorers for Stoke. Cole and Drogba also top2 point scorers for Chelsea so far (excluding out Lampard is again a good bet!). Ok, I bet you already see it by now. This team only have one of the 5 most expensive players (in Torres). Therefore he has a lot money to spend on moderate players such as Kuyt, Lennon, D.Bent and also good defenders like Evra and Johnson. A good distribution of team value that you might want to emulate!

Now let's look at another team, ThunderFrogs, who leads the chart for GW2 and GW3 before dropping into 4th on GW4, 27pts behind leader. Yes, we'll try to understand why he couldn't hold on to his lead.

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First let's check his points history:
GW1 94
GW2 84 (wildcard used, 10 changes made)
GW3 55
GW4 57

Changes made after GW2:




Out In GW
Fletcher (5.5) Duff (5.5) 4
Jerome (4.5) Blake (5.5) 3

Picture shown above is his GW4 result. Just 2 changes made from the GW2 team but why the points go down so much, while Liverpool's No. 9.'s team continued to get high points?

You can easily understand why he used his wildcard at just GW2. He started his team with 2 Arsenal, 2 Wigan, 1 each from MU, Chelsea, Stoke, Fulham, MC, Liverpool, West Ham, Villa, Sunderland, Everton and Birmingham. Obviously he spread his selections over teams, HOWEVER note that 6 of his starting line-up during GW1 does not play on GW2! And yet these 6 players had already brought him 48pts (including Fabregas 22pts). Yes he get his investment paid back, but with an additional price of wildcard, an inevitable one. Had he not do a total rebuild he would have only 5 first team players left.

Now there follows another clever move. he used his wildcard. Means the conpensation of buying in players who miss GW2 is taken off! And this combines with player stats gathered from GW1! He knows who is the form player, he knows who is likely to get a value up. He knows he can make very good transfers based on the infos. Now let's see who he brought in:












Player GW2 score
Jerome (4.5) 1
N'Zonzi (4.5) sub
Fletcher (5.5) sub
Defoe (8.5) 17
Palacios (5.5) 7
Lampard (12.5) 10 (made captain)
Bassong (5.0) 2
Wilkinson (4.0) --
Johnson (7.5) 18
TOTAL POINTS 55 (65 with captain score)

Pretty accurate, right? With 2 successive good GW result he straight went top of the overall table. BUT, not too good right after this. Drogba becomes his only real point scorer at GW3 and only Lampard reach double figure at GW4. He also made bod choice on captain selection on GW3 (could have scored 9pts more). 55 and 57 may not be a bad score, right? But COMPARATIVELY it was low among the people ranked right below him (an average of around 75pts per GW). Thus, he lost his lead and fell quite far behind in points, albeit still in a very good 4th place.

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Given both fantasy managers do not change their team, who would have a better run onwards? Well, it's really hard to tell at the moment. The points gap made out from GW3 and GW4 doesn't really give us the conclusion. What we can learn from this is two different pre-season approaches that can bring you good starting result.

The game had provided us the convenience to spy on other manager's team. So let's make good use of this ability. Spy as much as you can! Stop complaining why other can get high score while you get a petty one. You can become a team to be spied on too.

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