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Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Gameweek 9 Preview

Let me make some correction... no fixture for this weekend due to international break so there could be more transfers activities until next gameweek. It looks like another good timing for using wildcard.

So two thing you can do is to observe the transfer market (I mean the fantasy market) and also the international games impact (form and injuries). It was reported that Torres are suffering from a groin injury caused during a training session with Spain.

I will make appropriate change to this article and also add relevant topics to it. Thanks to all readers who show continued support!

Agenda for this preview:
1) Results prediction.
2) Short term analysis.
3) Long term analysis.
4) Player Stats: Top 3 point scorers of each team.

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(1)
First let's go for the rusults prediction. I expect all big 4 teams to win, but Tottenham and Man City should also be able to win theirs and continue to occupy 3rd and 4th place respectively.

Gameweek 9 fixture: (Unguaranteed predictions in bracket)

Aston Villa v Chelsea [0-1]
Arsenal v Birmingham [4-0]
Everton v Wolves [3-0]
Man Utd v Bolton [4-0]
Portsmouth v Tottenham [0-2]
Stoke City v West Ham [1-0]
Sunderland v Liverpool [2-0]
Blackburn v Burnley [2-0]
Wigan v Man City [1-2]
Fulham v Hull City [2-1]

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(2)

We have quite a lot of teams to look into for a short term transfer. Let's check out one by one.

Arsenal
Birmingham have not conceded more than 2 goals in a match so far. But this trend could ends in this match. Better grab the chance to score high. They have a lot of good players to pick, but if you have the money, it's the best to keep Fabregas(10.8) and Vermaelen(7.0) in your team. With van Persie(10.2) they are the top 3 point scorer in Arsenal.


Febregas and Vermaelen are no doubt the top pick for this gameweek.

Blackburn
Burnley had not scored in away game and are losing by a bigger margin every time. I won't expect a 6-0, but we should see at least 2 or 3 goals. David Dunn(5.4) is the sure man to perform. You can also bet on Robinson(4.4) to get a clean sheet.


Dunn and Robinson almost sure to score points in this match, but Blackburn will face Chelsea and Man Utd away next.

Fulham
This is the best chance for them to grab a win and I believe they will make a draw at least. Danny Murphy(6.2) will be the top pick as a set-piece taker. While it'll be harder to pick from their forward, midfielder Zoltan Gera(4.8) could be a good purchace too, at such cheap price.


Murphy and Gera are the best pick if you want to select from Fulham's team.

Everton
With Yakubu(7.9) back in the frame, they should be strong in the attacking now. Perhaps we could expect more chances from set-pieces too. In this case Baines(6.3) has the best chance to earn points.


Yakubu could back in the starting line-up, while Baines remains a good pick for defender.

Man Utd
They always have a good record against Bolton. Shall we trust in Rooney(11.2) once again?
I believe Giggs(7.2) will back to the line-up again. This time they will surely win.
Foster is still an injury doubt. Better hold it first if you're looking for United keeper.

Rooney and Giggs are currently top two point scorer in Man Utd.
With Rooney injured now Berbatov(9.5) and Owen(7.9) should take over the scoring role.

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(3)

Now for the long term pick. I see Man City to have a good run for points starting from now.

Man City - Wig(A),Ful(H),Bir(A),Bur(H),Liv(A),Hul(H)
Except for the Liverpool match, they should be able to take wins from the rest 5 games. All 3 of their starting forwards, Adebayor(10.0), Bellamy(7.9) and Tevez(8.2) look to be the better pick compared to their midfielders.


City are rich in attacking options. Bellamy and Adebayor played full 90 minutes for the last game and should get the biggest share of the playing time.

Tottenham - Por(A),Sto(H),Ars(A),Sun(H),Wig(H)
The series of good fixtures continues. It's a surprise to me that the failed to win at Bolton. But against Portsmouth they must win to match their title dreams. Defoe(8.9) is back and with Keane(8.6) they should make the most of the scoring chances.


Defoe and Keane scored 5 times each (including a hat-trick for both players) so far.

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(4)

Here you can view the top 3 point scorers of each team.

When you're sure a team will get a big victory, the best interest will be to bring in all 3 players most possible to contribute to the win. This table will help you figure out your selection immediately.

Also you can check how much percentage the top 3 players contribute to the team's total points. Here we see Arsenal with the highest percentage, which is 46.2%. This means that Fabregas, Vermaelen and van Persie had taken a larger share of points most of the time. Also higher than 40% is Chelsea and Sunderland.

On the contrary Birmingham, Wolves and Portsmouth have fairly low percentage, meaning the points is distributed evenly among the players, which also tells how hard it is to predict who will perform in every different games, for these teams.


We have plenty of times for discussion this week so lets share your thoughts too! Who knows you might come out with even more brilliant ideas.
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2 comments:

  1. Its an international break this week. So some of the players will be MORE tired after playing two games next week before gameweek 9. Also there's the increased risk of injury to the star fantasy performers.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for the remind! Let's check out how the international games give the impact to EPL.

    ReplyDelete