I'm going to change the form of this agenda and only discuss about form players for this review.
I've also updated the players statistic spreadsheet to GW9. Hopefully you can figure out some trends from it.
Agenda for this review:
1) Score prediction review.
2) Top players performance.
3) Form players.
4) Statistical talk.
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1)
As usual, let's check the score predictions:
Legend: [my prediction] (results)]
Aston Villa v Chelsea [0-1](2-1) wrong.
Arsenal v Birmingham [4-0](3-1) correct outcome.
Everton v Wolves [3-0](1-1) wrong.
Man Utd v Bolton [4-0](2-1) correct outcome.
Portsmouth v Tottenham [0-2](1-2) correct outcome.
Stoke City v West Ham [1-0](2-1) correct margin.
Sunderland v Liverpool [2-0](1-0) correct outcome.
Blackburn v Burnley [2-0](3-2) correct outcome.
Wigan v Man City [1-2](1-1) wrong.
Fulham v Hull City [2-1](2-0) correct outcome.
3 wrong predictions and 2 of them are draw results. But not as much clean sheets as I thought. How long does this have to go on?
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(2)
I know some of the big names are injured. But they will still play a major part throughout the season. Let's check if we really need to offload them, or we have an option to switch players among them.
Sorting by price:
Gerrard: injured.
Lampard: 5pts from an assist. But unfortunately Chelsea lost to Villa.
Torres: injured.
Rooney: injured.
Drogba: 6pts from 1 goal.
Arshavin: 7pts from 1 goal.
Fabregas: 8pts from an assist plus 3 bonus pts.
Anelka: 2pts.
Adebayor: 2pts.
van Persie: 6pts from 1 goal. Has scored in the last 3 games.
Berbatov: 2pts.
Kuyt: 2pts as Liverpool lost again.
Only players of Arsenal managed to get some respectable points. This also reflects my opinion of the current situation, which is, aim for Arsenal players if you wish to bring in any big 4 players! Anyway, Chelsea are playing Blackburn at home in coming weekend so they probably will get more goals! Don't let go Drogba, Lampard or A.Cole if you still have them.
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(3)
I always believe consistency (or form) is the largest factor to lead you to success in fantasy game. Wouldn't it be great if you have a team capable of bringing you more than 50pts a gameweek, while others struggling to bring in the correct players at a higher cost and with limited budget?
From the statistics we can easily see some players who have having a great run of fantasy points scoring. Let's see if they have the potential to continue the run.
Behind the name are the next opponents of the team player belongs to.
Fabregas(Ars): WH(A),Tot(H),Wol(A),Sun(A),Che(H),Sto(H),Liv(A)
The current fantasy point leader with 72pts. He had scored at least 5 pts in the last 5 games. Barring any injuries, he should guarantee some point returns in every game.
Drogba(Che): Bla(H),Bol(A),MU(H),Wol(H),Ars(A),MC(A),Eve(H),Por(H)
Has been the fantasy point leader for 5 gameweeks this season, and now just behind Fabregas. He has scored at least 4 pts or 1 assist in each game this season. You may wonder when his form gonna run out. Chelsea had lost 2 game in their last 3. I don't think they will lose again in short while. Definitely Drogba is going to contribute to every Chelsea win.
D.Bent(Sun): Bir(A),WH(H),Tot(A),Ars(H),Wig(A),Ful(A),Por(H)
Scored 6 goals in the last 5 games, successively. The fact that he even found the net against opponents like MU and Chelsea makes him the most fearful striker at the moment. at 7.7 he is still consider cheap and I expect him to break 8.0 very soon, maybe up to 8.5. Together with Drogba they are the two most worthy strikers currently.
van Persie(Ars): WH(A),Tot(H),Wol(A),Sun(A),Che(H),Sto(H),Liv(A)
The third most consistent striker. van Persie has scored 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, and also gathered 8 bonus points. While there are no injury alarm, he sits comfortably at the top of team's striker list. If Arsenal are to continue their high scoring form, van Persie will be a really worthy investment.
Dunne(AV): Wol(A),Eve(A),Bol(H),Bur(A),Tot(H),Hul(H)
Dunne has got 10 bonus pts and 2 goals from the last 5 games, which is since his transfer from MC to Villa. Once the most valuable defender in the fantasy game, he has made a remarkable comeback and gained the confidence of fantasy managers again. Most importantly, at 5.5 the cost is still reasonable and as long as he gets a clean sheet once in every two or three games it's still worth it.
Davies(Bol): Eve(H),Che(H),AV(A),Bla(H),Ful(A),Wol(A)
The 6.7 rated striker has scored at least 4 pts since GW4, getting 2 goals, 4 assists and 8 bonus pts. He had played an important role in turning Bolton's fortune, though they are still not far from the bottom three currently. Anyway, such form could see him overcome the difficult opponent and add more points to his impressive run.
Giggs(MU): Liv(A),Bla(H),Che(A),Eve(H),Por(A),WH(A),AV(H),Wol(H)
He had done well in the past month, whenever he's on the pitch. But it looks like there's going to be more rotation in MU midfield, so there is a risk that you need to carry with.
Dunn(Bla): Che(A),MU(A),Por(H),Bol(A)/Ful(A),Sto(H),Liv(H)
At 5.5 he's giving holders a good return, with 4 goals from the last 5 games. He also get bonus points whenever Blackburn wins. With their next two game against Chelsea and MU, maybe you want to wait further. Also take not that they will be playing 2 games at GW13. I think it'll be good to purchase him at GW12.
Reid(Sun): Bir(A),WH(H),Tot(A),Ars(H),Wig(A),Ful(A),Por(H)
He's created numerous goalscoring chances for his team mates from the midfield, and also getting bonus pts regularly. Though at the same price as Dunn, Sunderland stand a higher chance to win a game.
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(4)
This time we're going to check out which team are having their top 3 players getting the biggest share of team points as usual. Let's check on the stats table:
For GW9, Top3 players from Arsenal, Villa, Fulham and Wigan are the ones that perform to expectation. Most people get the right trio combination for Arsenal and Villa, but not for Wigan and Fulham, since they are relatively weaker teams. Perhaps it's something that you want to explore with in the future.
The green highlighted percentage shows teams that had depended heavily on their top3 players to get fantasy points. This signals that the top3 players of that team are the obvious choice than their teammates. A little observation will also tells you that teams like Tottenham and Man City usually win points for their attacking players, while Stoke City are an example where defenders get more points than attackers.
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